After a few calm summer months where inflation decelerated and the labor market kept chugging along, a new market narrative has taken the driver’s seat: long-end interest rates. That’s not to say that rates have been docile over the past year, but most of the action has been on the short end, e.g. money markets, […]
Markets across the world closed out the first half of 2023 on a pretty good note, rebounding a good bit from the declines of last year. Sure, interest rates have increased a lot as the Federal Reserve tries to battle inflation, but put simply: the economy is resilient as it normalizes from the bullwhip effects […]
Although markets had a decent first quarter, plenty of questions remain unsettled around the fate of inflation and interest rates, whether or not a recession will take hold, and more recently, a bank deposit crisis. Rather than unpack these events in our typical quarterly note, we put it all in episode 4 of our podcast, […]
What a crazy first six months of the year in markets. Stocks and bonds are materially lower, interest rates have been on the rise, volatility is very high, inflation fears, recession talk…all while the job market is still humming along and airport parking lots are completely full! It’s a very confusing environment to say the […]
In big geopolitical events, anxieties are high, conflicting headlines are the norm, and everyone anchors to the worst-case scenario. Sometimes there are lasting effects, sometimes the world has moved on in 3 weeks. It’s really hard to know, and that’s why market volatility soars. Secondly, markets experience 10%+ drawdowns about every two years – and […]
