In our last note, we mentioned that 2025's journey might include some air pockets along the way – and we've certainly hit one recently. The good news is that we were prepared for this turbulence. The markets have faced increasing headwinds this quarter, largely stemming from policy developments. As we cautioned previously, while markets initially […]
What a crazy first six months of the year in markets. Stocks and bonds are materially lower, interest rates have been on the rise, volatility is very high, inflation fears, recession talk…all while the job market is still humming along and airport parking lots are completely full! It’s a very confusing environment to say the […]
In big geopolitical events, anxieties are high, conflicting headlines are the norm, and everyone anchors to the worst-case scenario. Sometimes there are lasting effects, sometimes the world has moved on in 3 weeks. It’s really hard to know, and that’s why market volatility soars. Secondly, markets experience 10%+ drawdowns about every two years – and […]
Right now the market’s focus isn’t Covid-19, but rather on how the collective population perceives Covid-19. The swiftness of our recovery depends on the psychology of global consumers. If fear is widespread for some time, the recovery will be slow. If fear dissipates quickly, the recovery will be fast. In our summer note, we use real-time alternative […]
