If 2025 taught us anything, it's that economic coherence isn't guaranteed. We spent much of the year navigating data that made sense individually but just didn’t reconcile when viewed as a whole. Labor markets weakened with rising unemployment, yet consumer spending held firm. AI capex ran hot while housing sat in recession. Policy alternated between […]
In the past, we've used the phrase "see the forest for the trees," and that's probably never been more relevant than today. The current environment presents extraordinary levels of market noise – trends that appear sustainable but aren't, fundamentals that seem weak but prove resilient, and policy impacts that look benign but carry meaningful consequences. […]
In our last note, we mentioned that 2025's journey might include some air pockets along the way – and we've certainly hit one recently. The good news is that we were prepared for this turbulence. The markets have faced increasing headwinds this quarter, largely stemming from policy developments. As we cautioned previously, while markets initially […]
Just a few months removed from our spring note in April, we find ourselves navigating a significant shift in the financial landscape. The focus has moved from inflation to growth, narrowing those potential paths we outlined from three to two. The market is now grappling with two potential outcomes in what we call a "growth […]
One year after we first had her on the podcast, we were honored to run it back a second time with Callie Cox on episode 15 of Doxa Takes. She has been featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, the Financial Times, Yahoo Finance, and Barron's. Callie is one of the best at making complicated things simple - […]
